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	<title>Howard County Real Estate and Homes for Sale</title>
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	<link>http://blog.johnandangela.com</link>
	<description>in the Realtor-Buzz Network</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 15:41:11 +0000</lastBuildDate>
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		<title>Price Trends &#8211; Homes For Sale In Centennial HS, Ellicott City MD</title>
		<link>http://blog.johnandangela.com/centennial-high-school-homes-real-estate-for-sale/price-trends-homes-for-sale-in-centennial-hs-ellicott-city-md/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.johnandangela.com/centennial-high-school-homes-real-estate-for-sale/price-trends-homes-for-sale-in-centennial-hs-ellicott-city-md/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 26 Jan 2012 15:41:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Toner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Centennial High School Homes & Real Estate For Sale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Price Trends - Howard County]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.johnandangela.com/?p=205</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Homes prices in Centennial School area of Ellicott City, like the rest of Howard County, Maryland, hit bottom in 2009 and since then have been "balanced" to slightly improving in 2010 and 2011.]]></description>
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<div class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 302px"><img class=" " title="Centennial / Ellicott City Home Sale Price Changes '03-'11" src="http://blog.johnandangela.com/files/2012/01/Cent_Prices_2002-2012.jpg" alt="Centennial / Ellicott City Home Sale Price Changes '03-'11" width="292" height="201" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Centennial / Ellicott City Home Sale Price Changes &#39;03-&#39;11</p></div>
<p>I recently posted on the year/year price trends for Howard County, Maryland homes for sale over the past 10 years.  In summary, the average sold price of homes sold in Howard County <em>increased</em> 3.2% from 2009 &#8211; 2010, <em>decreased</em> -0.3% from 2010 &#8211; 2011, and taking the two years <em>combined</em> yields an average <em>increase</em> in price of 1.5% per year for two years in a row.  In short &#8211; there is strong evidence that Howard County MD home prices have &#8220;stabilized&#8221;.</p>
<p>But, what about average prices and number of sales for homes sold near <a title="Centennial High School (Ellicott City, MD)" href="http://www.hcpss.org/schools/profiles/prof_hs_centennial1112.pdf" target="_blank">Centennial High School</a> and/or <a title="Centennial Lane Elementary (Ellicott City, MD)" href="http://www.hcpss.org/schools/profiles/prof_es_centennial1112.pdf" target="_blank">Centennial Lane Elementary</a> in Ellicott City over the same time period?</p>
<p>Basically, homes selling in the Centennial High School/Centennial Lane Elementary School area experienced peaks and valleys similar to the county over all.  However, because of the strong test scores and &#8220;pull&#8221; of both Centennial High School and Centennial Lane Elementary School, the peaks and valleys were a bit more extreme. <a title="Search Homes Currently For Sale In Centennial School Area" href="http://johnandangela.com/search_schools" target="_blank"> (CLICK HERE for a list of homes currently for sale in the Centennial school area and/or to get the price of a specific home recently sold)</a>.</p>
<p>Home prices in Howard County peaked in 2006 ($453,951) and they peaked for the Ellicott City &#8211; Centennial schools neighborhood in 2006 as well, but at a higher $753,736.   Both areas also saw prices fall to lows in 2009 &#8211; Howard County home prices that year were $390,093 and for both Centennial schools&#8217; neighborhood were $504,557.</p>
<p>The price drop for Howard County home sales, &#8217;06 &#8211; &#8217;09, was -14.1%, but in the Centennial school neighborhood it was a more extreme -33.1%.  However, during the price run-up of &#8217;01 through &#8217;06 Centennial school area home sales also experienced a more extreme <em>increase</em> too.   For example, during the peak increase years of &#8217;02 &#8211; &#8217;04 Howard County home prices rose an average of 39.2% (from $263,743 to $367,036), while Centennial school area home prices rose an incredible 63.6% during the same two year period ($382,764 to $626,102).</p>
<div class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 308px"><img title="Centennial / Ellicott City Home Sale Stats: '00 - '11" src="http://blog.johnandangela.com/files/2012/01/Cent_Everything_2002-2011.jpg" alt="Centennial / Ellicott City Home Sale Stats: '00 - '11" width="298" height="200" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Centennial / Ellicott City Home Sale Stats: &#39;00 - &#39;11</p></div>
<p>Even the price &#8220;stabilization&#8221; / <em>slight</em> uptick in prices has been more extreme for Centennial school area homes.  County prices have been essentially stable from &#8217;09 &#8211; &#8217;11 with an overall 1.5% increase per year.  For Centennial school area homes prices are up an overall 6.5%/year the past two years.</p>
<p>Where will Ellicott City home prices, especially in the Centennial school area, go the next few years?  As with my predictions for Howard County home sales in general, I believe we have &#8220;hit bottom&#8221; on price declines, and we&#8217;re not likely to see any significant price increases for the next 2-3 years.  Why?</p>
<p>On the positive side, <a title="MD Employment Rate Improves to 93.3%" href="http://www.dllr.state.md.us/whatsnews/mlr.shtml" target="_blank">our region has stronger employment numbers than national averages</a>, and the high test scores for Centennial schools will continue to be a draw.  However, <a title="FHA Mortgage Qualifications Stiffen" href="http://www.dllr.state.md.us/whatsnews/mlr.shtml" target="_blank">mortgage qualification standards</a> continue to be strict, and many would-be home buyers for Ellicott City homes who relocate from other states are finding it hard to sell their out-of-state homes, leaving them unable to buy here.</p>
<p>In short &#8211; our housing market has (hopefully) hit bottom, the county (and especially the Centennial school area of Ellicott City) appears to be in &#8220;recovery&#8221;, and we&#8217;re not likely to see big price swings up or down over the next 2-3 years.  <a title="Find Homes Currently For Sale In Centennial School Area" href="http://johnandangela.com/search_schools" target="_blank">CLICK HERE to search for homes for sale in Centennial school area, Ellicott City</a> &#8211; or &#8211; <a title="Get A FREE Market Valuation Of YOUR Home" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">CLICK HERE to request a Free, No-Obligations market valuation of YOUR home.</a></p>
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		<title>Howard County MD Home Prices &#8220;Quietly&#8221; Improve/Stabilize</title>
		<link>http://blog.johnandangela.com/buyers-agents-in-howard-county-md/howard-county-md-home-prices-quietly-improvestabilize/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.johnandangela.com/buyers-agents-in-howard-county-md/howard-county-md-home-prices-quietly-improvestabilize/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Jan 2012 14:04:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Toner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Buyer's Agents in Howard County MD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Buyer Advice - Howard County]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Price Trends - Howard County]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.johnandangela.com/?p=198</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bucking the national trend, Howard County MD home prices hit "bottom" (hopefully) in 2009 and have been stable-to-slightly-improving for two years in a row ('10 - '11).  The most likely bet is continued "stable" prices (+/-  2%) over the next 2-3 years.]]></description>
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<p>The U.S. real estate market peaked between<br />
<img class="alignright" title="Howard County Home Sales - YR/YR Price Changes '02 - '11" src="http://blog.johnandangela.com/files/2012/01/HoCoSales_2002-2011.jpg" alt="Howard County Home Sales - YR/YR Price Changes '02 - '11" width="387" height="239" />2005 &#8211; 2007, depending on the exact locale. Since then nearly all national<br />
reporting on real estate has been negative &#8211; with &#8220;<a title="Foreclosures To &quot;Explode&quot; In 2012?" href="http://www.mainstreet.com/print/17180" target="_blank">Foreclosures</a>&#8220;, &#8220;<a title="Is 2012 The Year of The Short Sale?" href="http://weblogs.sun-sentinel.com/business/realestate/housekeys/blog/2012/01/is_2012_the_year_of_the_short_1.html" target="_blank">Short Sales</a>&#8220;, &#8220;<a title="Cities With Dangerously Falling Home Prices" href="http://realestate.yahoo.com/promo/cities-with-dangerously-falling-home-prices.html" target="_blank">Falling Home Prices</a>&#8221; and such dominating the headlines.</p>
<p>So, where is the <em>good </em>news about real estate? Apparently right here in Howard County, Maryland!</p>
<h3>Howard County Home Prices &#8220;Stabilize&#8221;</h3>
<p>As with the rest of the U.S., prices for Ellicott City, Columbia and other Howard County homes have fallen since the market&#8217;s peak. But, while average U.S. prices fell anywhere from 21% to 33%, depending on which reports you read, Howard County&#8217;s home prices had a &#8220;softer&#8221; drop: 17.8%.   Maybe small comfort to those who bought a home in Ellicott City or Columbia Maryland in &#8217;06 or &#8217;07, but still better than national averages.</p>
<p>Also, since 2009 Ellicott City and other Howard County home prices appear to have stabilized.  Average Howard County home prices peaked in 2007 at $455,464 and hit bottom (we <em>hope)</em> at $390,093 in 2009.  The past two years average Howard County home prices were up slightly in 2010 ($402,848, up 3.2%) and down slightly in 2011 ($401,535, down 0.3%).  (<a title="MRIS Real Estate Information" href="http://www.mris.com/" target="_blank">Statistics collected from Metropolitan Regional Information Services</a>. <a title="Free Info On Ellicott City / Howard County MD Homes For Sale" href="http://johnandangela.com/" target="_blank">Get more info on Ellicott City / Howard County MD homes for sale and Ellicott City real estate information from JohnAndAngela.com here</a>).</p>
<h3>BRAC Employment Helping</h3>
<p>Over the past two years Howard County home prices had actually had a <em>positive</em> change in average prices &#8211; by 1.5% per year!  Not the stunning 23.7% increase we saw from &#8217;03 to &#8217;04, but still a danged sight better than the -11.3% from &#8217;08 to &#8217;09.  And better than the overall (continued) price declines most of the nation saw the past two years.</p>
<p>No doubt the beefed up employment at Ft Meade due to BRAC has been helping. While many area home owners had <em>hoped</em> BRAC would lead to huge increases in home prices, the overall slow economy and tougher lending standards just wouldn&#8217;t support this. But &#8211; <em>any</em> increase is better than what most of the nation has seen the past two years.</p>
<p>Near-term predictions?  One year ago I reported on the year/year 3.2% increase in Howard County home prices. At that time I made a &#8220;hopeful&#8221; pronouncement that we&#8217;d hit bottom, and predicted largely flat prices for the next few years.</p>
<p>For 2011 I was correct. The slight -0.3% decline is easily within my definition of &#8220;flat&#8221; prices (+/- 2%).  I believe we have another 2-3 years of continued flat home prices.  Yes, BRAC will continue to help on  the positive side, but a sluggish economy and restrictive lending standards will balance things out for continued price neutrality.</p>
<p><em>SELLER OR BUYER CONSULTATION &#8211; $349 VALUE &#8211; YOURS FREE. </em><a title="SELL-SMART Consultation - $349 Value - Yours FREE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">Click here to learn about our Free </a><em><a title="SELL-SMART Consultation - $349 Value - Yours FREE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">SELL-SMART™</a></em><a title="SELL-SMART Consultation - $349 Value - Yours FREE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank"> Consultation</a> [including our unique AccuPrice® market valuation of your home]. Or, request our <em><a title="BUY-SMART Consultation - $349 Value - Yours FREE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">BUY-SMART™</a></em><a title="BUY-SMART Consultation - $349 Value - Yours FREE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank"> Consultation</a>.  Including materials, both are valued at $349, and both are FREE as a courtesy to you for visiting the John And Angela blog.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
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		<title>Time To Buy That Ellicott City Home?</title>
		<link>http://blog.johnandangela.com/home-buyer-advice-howard-county/time-to-buy-that-ellicott-city-home/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.johnandangela.com/home-buyer-advice-howard-county/time-to-buy-that-ellicott-city-home/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Oct 2011 14:04:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Toner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Centennial High School Homes & Real Estate For Sale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Buyer Advice - Howard County]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Price Trends - Howard County]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Centennial School Homes For Sale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ellicott City Home Price Trends]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ellicott City Homes For Sale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Howard County Home Price Trends]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blog.johnandangela.com/?p=194</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Lord knows it&#8217;s been hard to find &#8220;good news&#8221; in real estate the past few years. So, when a cautious, financially conservative voice like the Wall Street Journal opines It&#8217;s Time To Buy That House, you have to believe there&#8217;s something to it. While the WSJ article focuses on national figures, we believe it applies quite well [...]]]></description>
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<p>Lord knows it&#8217;s been hard to find &#8220;good news&#8221; in real estate the past few years. So, when a cautious, financially conservative voice like the <em>Wall Street Journal</em> opines <a title="WSJ - It's Time To Buy That House" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204774604576629443313035736.html?mod=WSJ_hp_mostpop_read" target="_blank">It&#8217;s Time To Buy That House</a>, you have to believe there&#8217;s something to it. While the <em>WSJ</em> article focuses on national figures, we believe it applies quite well to Howard County Maryland real estate and Ellicott City home sales in particular.</p>
<p>The gist of the <em>WSJ</em> article is that, just like using a stock&#8217;s price/earnings ratio helps determine whether a stock is a &#8220;bargain&#8221;, a home&#8217;s price/rent ratio can likewise reveal whether it&#8217;s time to buy.   In either case a lower number indicates a better &#8220;bargain.&#8221;  Nationwide the price/rent ratio hit 18.5 at market&#8217;s peak. Today it&#8217;s down to 11.3.</p>
<p>Price/rent ratios aren&#8217;t available anywhere for Howard County or Ellicott City homes for sale, but we <em>do </em>have recent sale price statistics for Howard County and Ellicott City home sales. Monthly home sales for Howard County Maryland, September 2011 vs. September 2010, show Howard County home prices are stable:  the average price increased 0.2% and median price increased 0.33%.</p>
<p>Likewise, statistics for zip code 21042 (west Ellicott City) for September 2011 vs. 2010 reveal the <em>average</em> price dipped 2.47% ($549,225 to $535,666) but the <em>median</em> price rose 4.0% ($500,000 to $520,000).  Taken together, we read these figures to say Ellicott City home prices have reached &#8220;balance&#8221;.   <em><a title="Request Home Sale Market Updates" href="http://johnandangela.com/" target="_blank">Click here to request monthly updates of Howard County home sales or Ellicott City home sales.</a></em></p>
<p>So, the Ellicott City home you buy today will cost about the same as last year &#8211; but, the mortgage will cost much less. The cost of borrowing money is near all-time lows at <a title="Current Mortgage Rates - Wells Fargo" href="https://www.wellsfargo.com/mortgage/rates?dm=DMIWFHPRAT" target="_blank">just 4.25% for a 30-Year fixed rate according to WellsFargo.com</a>.  For comparison on a $500,000 mortgage, an Ellicott City home buyer today would pay 22% <em>less </em>than if rates were at 6% (as many had predicted for fall 2011) - <a title="Mortgage Amortization Calculator" href="http://www.hsh.com/calc-amort.html" target="_blank">$2,460 today vs. $2,998/mo at 6%</a>.</p>
<p>So, to paraphrase the <em>WSJ</em>, yes, it <em>is t</em>ime to buy that Ellicott City home.</p>
<div id="attachment_195" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 263px"><a href="http://blog.johnandangela.com/files/2011/10/Fowler_3656_CragsmoorSM.jpg"><img class="size-full wp-image-195 " title="Centennial_Remodeled_Beauty" src="http://blog.johnandangela.com/files/2011/10/Fowler_3656_CragsmoorSM.jpg" alt="" width="253" height="168" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Remodeled Centennial Beauty</p></div>
<p>If you&#8217;re looking to buy in the Centennial Lane Elementary school district there are currently 23 homes for sale. There are nine priced between $375,000 to $600,000, including the home to the right, a spacious-and-updated colonial on an over-sized lot priced below recent sales.  There are a total of 49 homes for sale in the entire Centennial High School district, including 28 priced between $180,000 to $600,000.</p>
<p>If you are looking for homes for sale in <em>specific</em> school districts, like Centennial High School or Marriotts Ridge High School, <a title="AccuSearch Homes For Sale Search Tool" href="http://johnandangela.com/search_schools" target="_blank">click here to set up an AccuSearch® home search</a>. Now you can be the <em>first</em> to know when your dream home hits the market &#8211; and only AccuSearch® gives you the ability to include <em>school district(s)</em> as one of your search criteria.</p>
<p><a title="Contact John &amp; Angela For More Info" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">Use our Contact Form to request regular market updates on Howard County Maryland real estate and/or Columbia Maryland or Ellicott City Maryland homes for sale, OR if you would like to speak with one of us about buying or selling a home. </a> <em>Thanks!</em></p>
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		<title>Howard County Home Prices 2011 And Beyond</title>
		<link>http://blog.johnandangela.com/buyers-agents-in-howard-county-md/howard-county-home-prices-2011-and-beyond/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.johnandangela.com/buyers-agents-in-howard-county-md/howard-county-home-prices-2011-and-beyond/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Mar 2011 15:23:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Toner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Buyer's Agents in Howard County MD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Buyer Advice - Howard County]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Pricing Ideas For Howard County]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Seller Advice - Howard County]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Price Trends - Howard County]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://toner.realty-buzz.com/?p=184</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Howard County home buyers and sellers ask me all the time, &#8220;Where are home prices headed?&#8221; And, more bluntly, &#8220;When will Howard County home prices start going up again?&#8221;  All predictions are risky and, truth is, no one knows for sure. But I believe home prices in Howard County will  neither increase or decrease significantly [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="fblike_button" style="margin: 10px 0;"><iframe src="http://www.facebook.com/plugins/like.php?href=http%3A%2F%2Fblog.johnandangela.com%2Fbuyers-agents-in-howard-county-md%2Fhoward-county-home-prices-2011-and-beyond%2F&amp;layout=standard&amp;show_faces=false&amp;width=450&amp;action=like&amp;colorscheme=light" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" allowTransparency="true" style="border:none; overflow:hidden; width:450px; height:25px"></iframe></div>
<div id="attachment_188" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://blog.johnandangela.com/files/2011/03/FHFA_1978-2010CHART1.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-188" title="Howard County Home Price Trends - 1978 to 2010" src="http://blog.johnandangela.com/files/2011/03/FHFA_1978-2010CHART1-300x168.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="168" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Howard County Home Price Trends - 1978 to 2010</p></div>
<p>Howard County home buyers and sellers ask me all the time, &#8220;Where are home prices headed?&#8221; And, more bluntly, &#8220;When will Howard County home prices start going <em>up </em>again?&#8221;  All predictions are risky and, truth is, <em>no one</em> knows for sure. But I believe home prices in Howard County will  neither increase or decrease significantly over the next two to four years.  (We publish a print newsletter on Howard County real estate trends monthly. <a title="Receive FREE Howard County Real Estate Newsletter HERE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">To receive future and/or past issues, FREE, click here</a>).</p>
<p>There is downward pressure on our Howard County home prices based on history (this blog), and based on current and likely future mortgage changes (next blog).  However, the Baltimore/Washington regional economy is stronger than the national average, and the <a title="BRAC Ft Meade Boost to Howard County Economy" href="http://savage-guilford.patch.com/articles/city-of-ft-meade-grows-with-brac-3" target="_blank">Ft. Meade economic boost to Howard County</a> in particular (future blog) helps &#8220;balance&#8221; downward price pressure.</p>
<h2>Howard County Home Prices &#8211; 1978 to 2010</h2>
<p>To understand the future it&#8217;s good to know the past.  Using statistics from the <a title="See Home Price Trends on FHFA.GOV Website" href="http://fhfa.gov/Default.aspx" target="_blank">Federal Housing Finance Agency</a>, I developed the price chart above to track the change in home prices in Howard County from 1978 to 2010.  Using a base price of $100,000 in 1978, the wavy blue line tracts actual fluctuations, the thin red line tracts a fictitious straight-line appreciation rate of 5.6% per year (an average appreciation rate for the U.S. over the past 40 years).  Each of the colored panels represents a nine year period.</p>
<p>From 1981 to 1989 (the first green rectangle) Howard County home prices went both up and down. But, in the nine years overall <em>actual </em>price changes tracked perfectly with the 5.6% straight line appreciation level.</p>
<p>In the next nine years, 1990 to 1998, prices remained almost <span style="text-decoration: underline;">flat</span>.  This was partly due to the recession of &#8217;89 to &#8217;93 as well as tax code changes affecting investment real estate.  In Montgomery county, to the south, homes <em>lost </em>value during this time &#8211; but Howard County merely had largely <em>flat</em> prices.</p>
<p>From 1999 to 2007 Howard County home prices shot off like a rocket, climbing 129.8% over nine years. In fact, in just six years ending in &#8217;06 prices jumped 115%. If that rate of increase had continued another six years, the <em>average</em> home price in the county would have hit $1,000,000. This was obviously not sustainable.</p>
<p>The last pink rectangle shows Howard county home prices have falling 15.3% from the market&#8217;s peak in &#8217;07 to &#8217;10, <a title="Howard County Home Prices Up 3.2% In 2010" href="http://blog.johnandangela.com/category/centennial-high-school-homes-real-estate-for-sale/" target="_blank">which includes a slight uptick of 3.2% on prices in 2010</a>.  While discouraging news to sellers, our decline has been less than the average decline in the U.S., estimated at 23.2%.  Our decline has also been softer than even some other local areas &#8211; parts of Prince George&#8217;s county have seen 45% &#8211; 52% price declines from the peak.</p>
<p>By the way, if you are &#8220;curious&#8221; about the current value and/or change in value in a <em>particular </em>Howard County home, either yours or one you are considering buying, you can get a general guestimate at <a title="FHFA.gov Website" href="http://fhfa.gov/" target="_blank">FHFA.gov</a> or <a title="Get Free Howard County Home Price Evaluation HERE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">get a more specific valuation free by email here</a>.</p>
<h2>History Will Repeat Itself&#8230; But <em>Which </em>History?</h2>
<p>Will Ellicott City home prices repeat history from &#8217;02 to &#8217;05 in the next four years?  Will Columbia MD home prices repeat &#8217;08 to &#8217;10 the next three years?  The most likely &#8220;guess&#8221;, I believe, is that Howard County home prices in the next 2 &#8211; 5 years will look much like the 90&#8242;s in our area &#8211; with little up or down swing.</p>
<p>Even with the 15.3% drop already priced into today&#8217;s Howard County home prices, we are <em>still above</em> the staight-line 5.6% sustainable appreciation rate.  And, the types of mortgage changes being contemplated by the Feds (see my coming blog) will have, I believe, a stifling effect on potential price increases typical Ellicott City home prices similar to the effect the tax code changes had in the early 90&#8242;s.</p>
<p>Two additional factors keeping downward pressure on prices are present and future contemplated changes to the mortgage industry (my next blog).  But, the present and coming <a title="Ft Meade BRAC Boost To Howard County Employment" href="http://www.gazette.net/stories/01052011/bowinew142445_32536.php" target="_blank">BRAC boost to Ft Meade employment</a>, as well as the Balto/Washington regional economy in general, will have a positive impact on house prices (future blog) that will net out, I believe, to yield an overall flat home price picture over the next 2-4 years.</p>
<p>And, if you (or your FRIENDS!) are <a title="Free Info For Buying/Selling Howard County Real Estate" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">thinking of buying or selling a Howard County home in the near future,</a><strong><a title="Free Info For Buying/Selling Howard County Real Estate" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank"> call me </a></strong><a title="Free Info For Buying/Selling Howard County Real Estate" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">(410-772-5400 work, 443-420-7041 Google Voice) or click here</a>.  Thanks for reading!</p>
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		<title>Ellicott City Home Sales UP In 2011, But Not Prices</title>
		<link>http://blog.johnandangela.com/uncategorized/ellicott-city-home-sales-2011/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.johnandangela.com/uncategorized/ellicott-city-home-sales-2011/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 07 Jan 2011 14:47:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Toner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Centennial High School Homes & Real Estate For Sale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ellicott City Home Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Seller Advice - Howard County]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Price Trends - Howard County]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Ellicott City Home Sales in 2011: Prices to remain flat or, possibly, dip another 2-5%.  The number of home sales will be a bit stronger than 2010.  Rising mortgage rates and other factors suggest that Ellicott City home sellers who get their homes on the market earlier than usual (February/March vs. April-June) will do better than those who delay.  This is also true of Ellicott City home buyers, as mortgage rates are predicted to rise through year's end.]]></description>
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<p><img class="alignright" src="webkit-fake-url://5DE99530-130A-4B7B-B46D-EBB757320C0D/image.tiff" alt="" />Happy New Year! (And, Happy Birthday, Angela Toner!).  With the new year comes the inevitable questions: <a title="4 National Home Price Factors For 2011 - Effect On Ellicott City Homes" href="http://blogs.wsj.com/developments/2010/12/29/four-housing-issues-to-watch-in-2011/" target="_blank">Will Ellicott City home sales and home prices increase for 2011?</a> No one knows for sure, but  market factors seem to indicate that Ellicott City home prices will remain flat &#8211; or even dip a bit more &#8211; in 2011, but the <em>pace </em>of home sales may kick off the new year with a bang.</p>
<p>So, what are the factors that will influence Ellicott City home prices, and home sales, in 2011?</p>
<p><em>RISING MORTGAGE RATES. </em><a title="Mortgage Rate Trend Chart -  National" href="http://mortgage-x.com/trends.htm" target="_blank">Mortgage rates have been on the rise the past 90 days</a>, and are predicted to continue to rise through year&#8217;s end.  Rising rates are good/bad news for home sellers.  Good news, because rising rates give buyers a sense of <span style="text-decoration: underline;">urgency</span> &#8211; they want to buy quickly, before rates rise again.  But, rising rates <em>decrease</em> the amount of home they can afford &#8211; putting downward pressure on prices.</p>
<p><em>SUPPLY AND DEMAND. </em>Because of excellent schools like Centennial High School, demand for homes for sale nearby Centennial has always been relatively strong from potential home buyers.  However &#8211; home buyers&#8217; enthusiasm level in 2011 is tempered by the knowledge that Ellicott City home prices have fallen steadily for four years in a row. In 2011, more than ever before, Ellicott City home buyers have a cautious, &#8220;I can wait&#8221; attitude.  If you know the sale price and date of  Ellicott City home, <a title="Ellicott City Home Values - Auto-Estimate By Gov'mt Site" href="http://www.fhfa.gov/Default.aspx?Page=86" target="_blank">this government website lets you calculate it&#8217;s approximate value today</a>. Or, <a title="Free Valuation of Your Home Here" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">for a more </a><em><a title="Free Valuation of Your Home Here" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">accurate</a></em><a title="Free Valuation of Your Home Here" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank"> valuation of your </a><em><a title="Free Valuation of Your Home Here" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">specific </a></em><a title="Free Valuation of Your Home Here" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">Ellicott City home&#8217;s value &#8211; free &#8211; click here.</a></p>
<p>While demand is a bit dampened overall, there is a constant supply of homes hitting the market every week.  Not just &#8220;willing&#8221; sellers, but &#8220;unwilling&#8221; ones too &#8211; as with Ellicott City foreclosures and &#8220;short sales&#8221;. The good news is that Howard County MD home foreclosure rates &#8211; and <a title="Ellicott City Foreclosure Rates" href="http://blog.johnandangela.com/category/foreclosure-homes-in-howard-county-md/" target="_blank">Ellicott City foreclosure rates in particular &#8211; are well below national averages (see prior blog</a>). But &#8211; even at these lower rates, they still increase the &#8220;supply&#8221; of homes, putting downward pressure on prices.</p>
<p><em>TIGHT BANK APPRAISALS. </em>The collapse of housing prices affects everyone, but banks most of all, with total bank losses estimated anywhere from $1 Trillion up to $4-5 Trillion.   When banks lose <em>that</em> kind of money, it&#8217;s understandable they&#8217;re now a tad &#8220;over-cautious&#8221; to approve new loans.  Appraisers are under pressure from banks to come in with <a title="Pressure On Appraisers Increases" href="http://www.relocation.com/news/home_inspections_news/homes_for_sale_news/tight_restrictions_extending_to_home_appraisals_800298886.html" target="_blank">low appraisal values</a> &#8211; so even <em>if </em>2011 home buyers were <em>willing </em>to pay higher prices (which they&#8217;re not), the banker-appraiser-Federal regulator cartel wouldn&#8217;t let them.</p>
<p><em>TEMPORARY &#8220;SPIKES&#8221; AND &#8220;DROPS&#8221; DURING 2011. </em>The above indicators tell us that Ellicott City home prices will not increase anytime this year &#8211; or, frankly, anytime for the next 3-5 years &#8211; and they could dip another 2-5% this year.  However, we see rising interest rates, plus the threat of possible <em>lowering</em> of conforming loan limits [reported in the Wall Street Journal] as leading to an &#8220;early spring.&#8221;  <a title="SELL-SMART Consultation - $349 Value - Yours FREE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">Ellicott City home sellers contemplating a sale in 2011 would do well to get their home on the market early</a> &#8211; even February &#8211; rather than the typical April listing time frame.  [And, with interest rates rising, Ellicott City home <em>buyers</em> would also do well to act quickly].</p>
<p><em>SELLER OR BUYER CONSULTATION &#8211; $349 VALUE &#8211; YOURS FREE. </em><a title="SELL-SMART Consultation - $349 Value - Yours FREE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">Click here to learn about our Free </a><em><a title="SELL-SMART Consultation - $349 Value - Yours FREE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">SELL-SMART™</a></em><a title="SELL-SMART Consultation - $349 Value - Yours FREE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank"> Consultation</a> [including our unique AccuPrice® market valuation of your home]. Or, request our <em><a title="BUY-SMART Consultation - $349 Value - Yours FREE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">BUY-SMART™</a></em><a title="BUY-SMART Consultation - $349 Value - Yours FREE" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank"> Consultation</a>.  Including materials, both are valued at $349, and both are FREE as a courtesy to you for visiting the John And Angela blog.</p>
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		<title>Foreclosures&#8217; Effect on Ellicott City And Centennial High School Area Home Prices</title>
		<link>http://johnandangela.com/home</link>
		<comments>http://johnandangela.com/home#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Oct 2010 16:55:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Toner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Centennial High School Homes & Real Estate For Sale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ellicott City Home Foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreclosure Homes In Howard County MD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Howard Foreclosures]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Foreclosure home sales in Howard County MD were 20.1% of all Howard County home sales for Jan-Sep 2010. This is less than national average of 24% for similar time frame.]]></description>
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<p><img style="float: right;" title="Foreclosure Home Sales % Howard County MD" src="http://blog.johnandangela.com/files/2010/10/Foreclosures_HoCo.jpg" alt="Foreclosure Homes Howard County MD" width="322" height="273" />We’ve all seen a barrage of “shocking” headlines on foreclosures, including this <a title="Foreclosures Exceed 100,000 1st Time Sept 2010" href="http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE69D0SF20101014" target="_blank">Reuters posting declaring September 2010 set an all time record with 100,000+ foreclosures nationwide</a>. Howard County home buyers and sellers want to know what impact are foreclosures having on our <em>local</em> market?  Are foreclosure homes in Ellicott City above, below, or equal to the national average? And, how are prices of non- foreclosure homes in Columbia, Maryland affected by foreclosure homes in Howard County Maryland?</p>
<p>A foreclosure certainly decreases the value of the <em>foreclosure home itself, </em>estimated to be an average of <a title="Foreclosure Drops Value 27%" href="http://liveshots.blogs.foxnews.com/2010/08/23/foreclosure-study-shows-dramatic-value-drop/" target="_blank">27% according to a posting by Molly Line</a>.  But studies on the affect foreclosure homes have on <em>other</em> homes&#8217; values are less clear and vary in their conclusions, but one study impressed me personally.  A <a title="Fed Reserve, Cleveland, Report re Foreclosures' Affect on Home Prices" href="http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/workpaper/2010/wp1011.pdf" target="_blank">Federal Reserve Bank, Cleveland, Sept 2010 report </a>suggests that where foreclosure rates are “moderate” the impact on housing prices is just -1.6%.</p>
<p>So &#8211; do we have &#8220;moderate&#8221; rates of home foreclosures in Howard County, Maryland?  Are home foreclosure rates in Ellicott City above or below the Howard County average?</p>
<p>For the second quarter of 2010 <a title="Foreclosures Were 24% of USA Home Sales Q2 2010" href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/39436419/ns/business-real_estate/" target="_blank">foreclosures represented 24% of all home sales nationwide</a>.   Statistics from our local Realtor® database of homes (&#8220;MRIS&#8221;) shows that there were 430 foreclosure home sales in Howard County Maryland from January to September, 2010.  Out of  2,140 total home sales, foreclosure home sales in Howard County represented 20.1% of all home sales.  (<a title="Search All Howard Co or Ellicott City Homes Here" href="http://johnandangela.com/search_listings" target="_blank">Find all Howard County MD or Ellicott City homes for sale here</a>, or <a title="Search Foreclosure Homes For Sale, Howard Co / Ellicott City" href="http://johnandangela.com/search_foreclosures" target="_blank">search specifically for foreclosure homes in Howard County MD or Ellicott City here</a>).</p>
<p>While every foreclosure is a heartbreak for the family involved, it is partially good news to know that the Howard County rate of foreclosure home sales is less than the national average.</p>
<p>We have broken down statistics even further, to show the impact of foreclosure home sales by neighborhood (Centennial High School area home sales had fewer foreclosures, by far, than the county average) as well as by price range (you&#8217;d be shocked to see which price range had a 48% foreclosure average vs. which had a 0% average).</p>
<p>You can request our full analysis of <a title="Howard County Foreclosure Homes - By Region And Price Range" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">Howard County Foreclosure Homes &#8211; By Region And Price Range here</a>.  We hope to publish bits and pieces of the full report, by area, in future blogs.  <strong> </strong>As per usual, you can <strong>call 410-772-5400, M-F, 9-5 </strong>with any questions about Howard County real estate, <a title="Email John &amp; Angela" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">or send us an email here</a>.  Blessings</p>
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		<title>Ellicott City Home Sales To Rebound?  Centennial Lane Elementary</title>
		<link>http://blog.johnandangela.com/uncategorized/ellicott-city-home-sales-centennial-lane1/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.johnandangela.com/uncategorized/ellicott-city-home-sales-centennial-lane1/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Apr 2010 21:07:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Toner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://toner.realty-buzz.com/?p=141</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Homes sales in the Ellicott City neighborhood of Centennial Lane Elementary plummeted in 2009 to just 29, but will likely rebound for 2010 to about 60 - 65 sales, still a bit below the multi-year average of 80.]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="fblike_button" style="margin: 10px 0;"><iframe src="http://www.facebook.com/plugins/like.php?href=http%3A%2F%2Fblog.johnandangela.com%2Funcategorized%2Fellicott-city-home-sales-centennial-lane1%2F&amp;layout=standard&amp;show_faces=false&amp;width=450&amp;action=like&amp;colorscheme=light" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" allowTransparency="true" style="border:none; overflow:hidden; width:450px; height:25px"></iframe></div>
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<div id="attachment_144" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://blog.johnandangela.com/files/2010/04/Cent_Lane_ES_Sales2.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-144" title="Cent_Lane_ES_Sales" src="http://blog.johnandangela.com/files/2010/04/Cent_Lane_ES_Sales2-300x205.jpg" alt="Centennial Lane Elementary Area Home Sales" width="300" height="205" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Centennial Lane Elementary Area Home Sales: &#39;05 - &#39;09</p></div>
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<div id="_mcePaste"><strong>Will Home Sales In Centennial Lane Elementary Rebound In 2010?</strong></div>
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<div><a title="House Prices In U.S." href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_housing_bubble" target="_blank">Nationally home prices have fallen</a> close to 30% from the all-time peak (from ’05 to ’07, depending on the area).  In Howard County the price decline has been closer to about 20%, and the same for the Centennial area.  However, in reviewing home sales statistics for the Centennial Lane Elementary School district, one shocking stat jumps out.</div>
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<div id="_mcePaste">During the run-up in housing, from 2000 to 2005, this part of the  <a title="Centennial High School" href="http://www.centennialeagles.org/" target="_blank">Centennial High School </a>district in Ellicott City had home sales averaging  87 sales per year.  When the slump hit sales fell to an average of 67 sales/year from &#8217;06 thru &#8217;08.  But last year the number of sales collapsed to just 29 home sales!  That 29 number is less than half (43%) of the average of the prior three “down” years, and roughly one third (36%) of the average for the prior nine years.  (<a title="More Home Sale Info For Ellicott City / Centennial High School" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">We tract area home sale stats constantly &#8211; for more info on home sales in Ellicott City visit our Contact Us page</a>).</div>
<div></div>
<div>We believe there are two reasons why neighborhood home sales collapsed last year. First, the stock market crash of 2008 had a       ing effect on home buyers’ moods for at least the first half of 2009. This was especially true for affluent home buyers, the type attracted to <a title="Ellicott City MD Attractions" href="http://ellicottcity.net/" target="_blank">Ellicott City</a> and/or Centennial High School particularly.  Second, many sellers have been slow to recognize that, if you ask an ’06 price for your home in ’09 or ’10, it won’t sell.</div>
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<div id="_mcePaste">We also believe that 2010 will see a strong rebound in Centennial Lane Elementary home sales.  First, the core attractions to the neighborhood – schools and conscientious neighbors – remain as strong and as in demand as ever.  Also, the depressing effect of the stock market crash is no longer a factor.  Finally, <a title="Fed Chief Predicts Mortgage Rates To Rise" href="http://articles.courant.com/2010-01-09/business/hc-rosengren0109.artjan09_1_mortgage-rates-action-in-interest-rates-boston-fed" target="_blank">economists predict that interest rates will rise as much as 1.25% by year’s end</a> – pressuring buyers to buy quickly before rates rise.</div>
<div></div>
<div id="_mcePaste">Will 2010 see record-setting sales above the 105 sales set in 2001? Probably not.  But, we should at least see sales climb back to the 60+ range for 2010, which would be a welcome relief and a doubling of sales from 2009.</div>
<div></div>
<div>Want <a title="More Info On Homes For Sale In Ellicott City" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">more information on homes for sale in Ellicott City</a> and/or<a title="Search Homes For Sale - By School District!" href="http://johnandangela.com/search_schools" target="_blank"> homes for sale in the Centennial High School or Centennial Lane Elementary areas?</a> Interested in selling a home in Ellicott City and/or the Centennial High School area?  Call us at 410-772-5400, or request an AccuSearch(R) home search for homes for sale in the Centennial High School area, or <a title="Contact Us For More Info" href="http://johnandangela.com/contact" target="_blank">visit our Contact Us page</a>.  Thanks!  All inquiries are held strictly confidential and your information will never be shared with anyone.</div>
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		<title>Search Howard County Maryland Homes By School!</title>
		<link>http://blog.johnandangela.com/home-buyer-advice-howard-county/howard-county-maryland-homes-by-school/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.johnandangela.com/home-buyer-advice-howard-county/howard-county-maryland-homes-by-school/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Feb 2010 20:33:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Toner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Home Buyer Advice - Howard County]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Howard County Public Schools]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://toner.realty-buzz.com/?p=136</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Finally - an accurate way to search Howard County homes for sale by school district!]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://johnandangela.com/search_schools"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-138" title="Search Ellicott City Homes For Sale - Centennial High School" src="http://blog.johnandangela.com/files/2010/02/Centennial_HS1-300x266.jpg" alt="Search Ellicott City Homes For Sale - Centennial High School" width="300" height="266" /></a></p>
<p>If you&#8217;ve tried searching for homes for sale in <a title="Howard County Maryland Govm't" href="http://www.co.ho.md.us/" target="_blank">Howard County Maryland</a> by school district you&#8217;ve probably been frustrated &#8211; finding homes from the <em>wrong</em> district as well as missing out on homes from the <em>right</em> district.  Why?</p>
<p>Most agents (and <em>all</em> online sites) search for school district by searching for matching <em>words </em>in the &#8220;school district&#8221; data field. The problem?  Agents are notorious for either putting in the wrong school name or skipping the data field entirely (seeing &#8220;Unknown School&#8221; in the school data field is <em>almost</em> as frustrating as seeing &#8220;No Photo Available&#8221; in the house photo field).   Searching Bad Data = Bad Search Results.</p>
<p><a title="Search Howard County MD Homes For Sale With Accu-Search(TM)" href="http://johnandangela.com/search_listings" target="_blank">Our Accu-Search(TM) method</a></p>
<p>takes a completely different approach.  Let&#8217;s suppose you want to find a home in either the Centennial High School or River Hill High School district.   We don&#8217;t search for <em>words</em> that match &#8220;Centennial High School&#8221; or &#8220;River Hill High School&#8221; &#8211; because word-based searches are the ones prone to error.</p>
<p>Instead we create a search <em>map</em>, drawn to the <em>exact</em> boundaries given by the <a title="Howard County Public School System" href="http://www.hcpss.org/" target="_blank">Howard County Public School System</a>, for the school(s) you want.  Since property address is one data field agents <em>always</em> input correctly, our Accu-Search(TM) system gives you <em>exactly</em> the homes you want, and none you don&#8217;t.  Searching Good Data = Good Search Results.</p>
<p>At present the software that allows the creation of custom-map-based searches is not available on <em>any</em> consumer accessible websites &#8211; it can only by done by a Realtor(R) member of Metropolitan Regional Information Systems (&#8220;&#8221;MRIS&#8221;).  However, if YOU would like to have <em>accurate</em> home searches by school district, we can prepare these searches for you, free, and email all matching homes to you automatically.  Just call our office, 410-772-5400, or <a title="Search Homes For Sale - Howard County - By School" href="http://johnandangela.com/search_schools" target="_blank">click here and fill out the information you want included in your home search</a>.      Blessings, John</p>
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		<title>Finding A Buyer&#8217;s Agent In Howard County</title>
		<link>http://blog.johnandangela.com/buyers-agents-in-howard-county-md/finding-a-buyers-agent/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.johnandangela.com/buyers-agents-in-howard-county-md/finding-a-buyers-agent/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Apr 2009 16:56:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Toner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Buyer's Agents in Howard County MD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Buyer Advice - Howard County]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://toner.realty-buzz.com/?p=125</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Finding, And Choosing, A Buyer&#8217;s Agent In Howard County Maryland OK, so you want to buy a home in Columbia or Ellicott City or somewhere else in Howard County Maryland. And, you&#8217;ve decided you want &#8220;someone on your side&#8221; &#8211; a &#8220;buyer&#8217;s agent&#8221;. Great.  However, you have to realize there are different types of so-called [...]]]></description>
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<h4><span style="color: #0000ff;">Finding, And Choosing, A Buyer&#8217;s Agent In Howard County Maryland</span></h4>
<p>OK, so you want to <a title="Search Maryland Homes Free" href="http://johnandangelahomes.com/forbuyers.html" target="_blank">buy a home in Columbia or Ellicott City</a> or somewhere else in Howard County Maryland. And, you&#8217;ve decided you want &#8220;someone on your side&#8221; &#8211; a &#8220;buyer&#8217;s agent&#8221;. Great.  However, you have to realize there are different types of so-called &#8220;buyer&#8217;s agents.&#8221;</p>
<h4><span style="color: #0000ff;">Types of &#8220;Buyer&#8217;s Agents&#8221;</span></h4>
<p>The purpose of having a so-called &#8220;buyer&#8217;s agent&#8221; is to have that agent give YOU, the buyer, 100% loyalty. However, each real estate agent must work for a real estate <em>broker, </em>and the loyalty an agent can offer you is enhanced, or limited, by the business chosen by your agent&#8217;s <em>broker. </em>Since about 1995 Maryland real estate brokers have selected one of three types of practices: Exclusive Buyer&#8217;s Agency (&#8220;EBA&#8221;); Single Agency (&#8220;SA&#8221;); or Dual Agency (&#8220;DA&#8221;).</p>
<h4><span style="color: #0000ff;">Exclusive Buyer&#8217;s Agency (&#8220;EBA&#8221;)</span></h4>
<p>In an EBA firm the brokerage <em>only</em> represents home buyers &#8211; never sellers.  The advantage to a buyer is that the broker and your agent can give you 100% loyalty, with 0% chance of a conflict of interest of also representing the seller.</p>
<p>Today there are no firms offering Exclusive Buyer&#8217;s Agent service in Howard County.  (If you contact the <a title="NABEA.org" href="http://naeba.org/" target="_blank">National Association of Exclusive Buyer&#8217;s Agents</a> for a buyer&#8217;s agent in Howard County, they&#8217;ll tell you there are no exclusive buyer&#8217;s agents here &#8211; and they&#8217;ll recommend that you contact John Toner of Providence Real Estate).</p>
<p>In the early 1990&#8242;s there were four Exclusive Buyer&#8217;s Agent brokers, but since then one went out of business, one moved out of state, and two (including our firm) converted to Single Agency practices.  (The <a title="Buyer's Agents Website" href="http://www.buyers-agents.com/" target="_blank">website Buyers-Agents.com</a> traces some of the history of buyer&#8217;s agents in Howard County Maryland).</p>
<h4><span style="color: #0000ff;">Single Agency (&#8220;SA&#8221;)</span></h4>
<p>A Single Agency firm represents both buyers (as buyer&#8217;s agents) and sellers (as seller&#8217;s agents) but never <em>both</em> at the same time (so-called &#8220;dual agents&#8221;).   Single Agency firms by definition tend to be smaller brokerages with a handful of agents and no more than, say, a half dozen buyer or seller clients at any given time.  Think &#8220;craftsman&#8221; vs mass-production.</p>
<p>A Single Agency brokerage can&#8217;t offer the 100% loyalty of an EBA but, because Single Agencies are small, the odds of an actual conflict of interest are low. Suppose the broker represents four sellers at the moment amidst 1200 homes currently for sale.  The odds that you, as buyer, want to buy one of these homes is just 0.3% (4 divided by 1200).</p>
<p>Most Single Agency firms use a &#8220;first in time&#8221; rule for representing clients. Say you come to our office today and want to buy a home in the $550,000 &#8211; $700,000 range, and of our current five listings one fits that description. We&#8217;d show you the home first. If you don&#8217;t like it, we&#8217;d sign a buyer&#8217;s agent agreement with you promising to give you 100% loyalty on all other homes on the market in your price range.  However, if you <em>did</em> like the home we have listed, we would have to represent the seller (he was our client &#8220;first&#8221;). At that point you could choose to work through us to buy the home, knowing we represent the seller, or you could hire a completely different buyer&#8217;s agent from another firm to represent your interests.</p>
<p>(Wow &#8211; that was weird, huh? A Realtor® actually honest enough to say that, on occasion, you might actually want to work with <em>someone else!?</em>)</p>
<p>Currently there are three Single Agency firms offering buyer&#8217;s agent service in Howard County Maryland that we are aware of: the <a title="Howard County Homes, Info" href="http://johnandangela.com/" target="_blank"><strong>John &amp; Angela Team</strong> at Providence Real Estate</a>, and two other small firms in Howard County.</p>
<h4><span style="color: #0000ff;">Dual Agency (&#8220;DA&#8221;)</span></h4>
<p>Dual Agency is what the overwhelming majority of all Maryland firms practice.  They work with buyers and sellers, but get all their clients to sign a &#8220;dual agency consent&#8221; form, which allows the brokerage and the agent to represent <em>both</em> the buyer <em>and</em> the seller in the <em>same</em> transaction.  The purpose for this is so that the company, and agent, can secure <em>your loyalty to them 100%</em> while they only &#8220;maybe&#8221; give you 100% loyalty back.</p>
<p>If you think you have a buyer&#8217;s agent in Howard County, but are working with an agent with one of the big firms, you probably have merely a dual agent.</p>
<p>If it is a firm that has a huge local market share, for example Long &amp; Foster in our local market, it is difficult for them to offer true 100% loyalty to either buyers or sellers.  If Long &amp; Foster has, say, a 25% market share of homes for sale in Ellicott City, then there is a 25% chance your agent <em>can&#8217;t</em> serve as truly your buyer&#8217;s agent in Ellicott City.  If Coldwell Banker has a 32% market share of homes for sale in Columbia Maryland, then there is a 32% chance your agent <em>can&#8217;t</em> be your buyer&#8217;s agent in Columbia Maryland.  In both cases, the agent would be a &#8220;dual agent&#8221; at best.</p>
<p>Is dual agency legal?  Yes, sort of.  Is dual agency right or fair?  Well, we don&#8217;t think so.   Maryland, like most states, passed laws in the 1990&#8242;s &#8220;legalizing&#8221; dual agency.  But the practice is prone to legal problems &#8211; for agents, brokers, buyers and sellers &#8211; that there is a network of real estate attorney who specialize in protecting the victims of dual agency after the fact &#8211; see <a title="Dual Agency Law Claims" href="http://www.realestatelawyers.com/Dual-agency.cfm" target="_blank">Real Estate Lawyers.Com</a>.</p>
<p>In essence dual agency is designed to protect the <em>agent</em> (making sure that <em>you</em> remain loyal to <em>them</em>) while allowing your so-called &#8220;buyer&#8217;s agent&#8221; to give <em>you</em> compromised loyalty if you happen to buy one of her firm&#8217;s listings.</p>
<p>Here is a simple test: Ask a prospective Howard County buyer&#8217;s agent to specify how their broker&#8217;s agency policy will allow them to provide you with the Six Fiduciary Duties of a Buyer&#8217;s Agent.   (My next blog will outline the Six Fiduciary Duties of a Buyer&#8217;s Agent).</p>
<p>If the agent squirms &#8211; or worse &#8211; looks confused, as if they&#8217;ve never even <em>heard</em> of the Six Fiduciary Duties, you might want to look for a different Howard County Buyer&#8217;s Agent.  <a title="Contact John &amp; Angela" href="http://johnandangela.com/contactus.html" target="_self">Contact us by email for more information about homes for sale in Howard County and/or how our buyer&#8217;s agent services can help you get a great deal on a Howard County home.</a></p>
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		<title>Buyer&#8217;s Agents In Howard County Maryland</title>
		<link>http://blog.johnandangela.com/buyers-agents-in-howard-county-md/buyers-agents-howard-county/</link>
		<comments>http://blog.johnandangela.com/buyers-agents-in-howard-county-md/buyers-agents-howard-county/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 31 Mar 2009 16:03:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>John Toner</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Buyer's Agents in Howard County MD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Home Buyer Advice - Howard County]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://toner.realty-buzz.com/?p=111</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Buyer's Agency in Howard County Maryland, background history leading up to current consumer choices]]></description>
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<h3>Buyer&#8217;s Agents: Giving Howard County Home Buyers A Fair Deal And Honest Advice</h3>
<p>I confess I&#8217;ve been asleep at the wheel on my own blog.  Over the past few months I&#8217;ve written about topics I thought Howard county home buyers were most interested in these days &#8211; foreclosures in Ellicott City, short sales in Columbia, Maryland, and current home price trends in Howard County.  (See prior blog entries, or <a title="Free List of Bargain Howard County Homes" href="http://johnandangela.com/contactus.html" target="_self">click here for a list of current foreclosures and short sales in Howard County</a>). But I&#8217;ve forgotten to speak about using a &#8220;buyer&#8217;s agent&#8221; despite the fact that for over 20 years I&#8217;ve been a pioneer of buyer&#8217;s agency in Howard County. </p>
<p>Forgive me.  I&#8217;ll do my best to succinctly address key issues concerning buyer&#8217;s agents in Howard County and in Maryland in general in this and the next few posts.</p>
<h3>Definitions: Buyer&#8217;s Agents, Seller&#8217;s Agents, And Dual Agents</h3>
<p>Traditionally <em>all</em> real estate agents worked <em>for</em> the seller&#8217;s best interests, either as &#8220;listing agent&#8221; (with a written listing agreement between agent and seller) or as a &#8220;sub-agent&#8221; (working <em>with</em> buyers but as a &#8220;sub-agent&#8221; of the listing agent of the home the buyer purchased and thus a <em>seller&#8217;s</em> agent).  Crazy, huh? Your agent emotionally bonds with you as home buyer, shows you tons of homes owned by sellers she&#8217;s never met, yet she owes 100% loyalty to <em>them, </em>0% to you.  <a title="Brief Notes On History of Agency" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buyer%27s_agent" target="_blank">Wikipedia.org partly explains this system here</a>.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s unclear exactly how this agents-always-work-for-sellers system came about. At least, no one has offered an explanation which I find fully satisfying. But it must have been due in part to the fact that, generally, the <em>agent&#8217;s </em>best interests are more <em>naturally <span style="font-size: 10pt; color: #000000; line-height: 115%; font-family: &quot;Lucida Sans Unicode&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; mso-bidi-font-size: 11.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">aligned</span></em><span style="font-size: 10pt; color: #000000; line-height: 115%; font-family: &quot;Lucida Sans Unicode&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; mso-fareast-font-family: 'Times New Roman'; mso-ansi-language: EN-US; mso-fareast-language: EN-US; mso-bidi-language: AR-SA;">  </span>with sellers than with buyers.  Both seller and agent want the highest price &#8211; the seller to receive more money, and the agent to receive a higher commission.  Both seller and agent want few, if any, &#8220;escape clauses&#8221; in a purchase contract &#8211; because, once a deal has been agreed to, they both want it to go through despite any buyer concerns.</p>
<p>Regardless of <em>how</em> it came about, the fact remains that the basic legal framework in U.S. real estate for nearly a century has been that <em>all</em> agents worked <em>for</em> the seller.  This was certainly true for Howard County Maryland real estate sales.</p>
<p>Then in the late 1970&#8242;s and 1980&#8242;s some upstart real estate brokers introduced the concept of &#8220;buyer&#8217;s agency&#8221;, where the agent would actually commit in writing to break with the traditional, sellers-only, system and work for the <em>buyer&#8217;s</em> best interests. </p>
<p>This was risky at the time, because &#8220;dual agency&#8221; &#8211; the act of representing <em>both</em> buyer and seller on the <em>same</em> transaction &#8211; was completely illegal in all 50 states. If Agent-A with ACME Realty represented the buyer and Agent-B of ACME Realty represented the seller in the same deal this was considered <em>dual agency</em> &#8211; representing conflicting interests in the same transaction &#8211; and was completely illegal in all 50 states.  Both agents <em>and the broker</em> could lose their licenses for committing just <span style="text-decoration: underline;">one</span> act of dual agency.</p>
<p>The biggest brokerages, then, never offered buyer&#8217;s agency. If the firm had, say, a 25% share of the home listings in an area, there would be a 25% chance of dual agency if that firm represented buyers also.  Since dual agency was blatantly illegal, big firms never offered it to buyers.</p>
<p>This meant that, initially, buyer&#8217;s agency was only offered through small, innovative brokerages. Some were &#8220;Exclusive Buyer&#8217;s Agents&#8221;, or EBA&#8217;s, where the firm only represented home buyers with a 0% chance of dual agency.  Other small firms practiced &#8220;Single Agency&#8221;, where they would represent a handful of buyers and sellers, but never both on the same deal. If such a Single Agency firm represented, say, three home sellers out of 1,500 homes for sale in the area, there&#8217;d be a 0.2% chance of dual agency.</p>
<p>(If you can&#8217;t tell already, yes, <em>I</em> was one of those &#8220;innovative&#8221;, upity brokers that practiced buyer&#8217;s agency in Howard County Maryland as far back as 1989).</p>
<p>However, these small firms offering buyer&#8217;s agency apparently posed a threat to the big firms. Over a matter of a few years, from 1991 to 1997, all 50 states made major changes to their dual agency laws and most repealed them. Why? Well, it wasn&#8217;t because <em>consumers</em> demanded the &#8220;right&#8221; to work with &#8220;dual agents.&#8221;  Rather, it was because the big firms felt threatened by &#8220;buyer&#8217;s agency&#8221; and they wanted to be able to offer something they <em>called</em> buyer&#8217;s agency, even if it was simply a repackaged version of the old dual agency that had been illegal for a century.</p>
<p>Locally us &#8216;little guys&#8217; lobbied against such big boys as Long &amp; Foster, ReMax and O&#8217;Conner, Piper &amp; Flynn (now Coldwell Banker). We didn&#8217;t want dual agency legalized, as it seemed a blatant ripoff of the consumer.  Alas I found it&#8217;s true: you <em>can&#8217;t</em> fight city hall (or, in this case, the Maryland Legislature and big brokerage houses at the Maryland Association of Realtors®).</p>
<p>Result Today?  Virtually every agent in Howard County claims to be a &#8220;buyer&#8217;s agent.&#8221;  But precious few will GUARANTEE in writing to give you 100% loyalty.  We do.</p>
<p>For 12 years we practiced Exclusive Buyer&#8217;s Agency in Howard County Maryland and for the past eight years we&#8217;ve practiced Single Agency for our Howard County home buyer and seller clients.  For reasons I&#8217;ll state in a future post, I find Single Agency more beneficial to our clients than even Exclusive Buyer&#8217;s Agency.</p>
<p><a title="Buyer's Agency Forms &amp; Guarantee" href="http://johnandangela.com/contactus.html" target="_self">If you&#8217;d like copies of any of our buyer&#8217;s agency forms, including a copy of our written loyalty guarantee, click here and we&#8217;ll be glad to send it to you.</a></p>
<p>You can check my <a title="Maryland Buyer's Agent Website" href="http://www.buyers-agents.com/" target="_blank">OLD website for more info on Buyer&#8217;s Agency In Howard County Maryland here</a> (with apologies, it needs a bit of updating), or <a title="Buyer's Guide To Maryland Real Estate" href="http://johnandangela.com/contactus.html" target="_self">request our &#8220;Home Buyer&#8217;s Guide To Maryland Real Estate&#8221; here</a>.</p>
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